niftiIQLab

Things we study, published with the receipts.

Every project here makes its predictions in public, stores them before the event, and grades them after — nothing is edited after the fact. The point is to show whether a method works, honestly, over time.

Sports All sports →

niftiNFL
NFL game predictions
LIVE
A statistical model (team strength, opponent-adjusted efficiency, the named starting quarterback, injuries, rest) plus a small, capped "analyst" layer that reads the news. Every pick is stored before kickoff with a plain-language reason, then graded against the result and against the betting markets.
29picks stored, none graded yet
Open niftiNFL →
niftiNBA
NBA game predictions
COMING
The original model this lab grew from. Moving here for the 2026–27 season.

Local All local →

Biddeford police log
What the daily log actually says
COMING
Reading a year of public police-log entries for patterns by time, place and type. Idea stage.

How to read this site

Each project has its own pages: what it predicts this week, its running record, and a "How this works" page that explains the method, the data sources and when the numbers update. Records are shown next to a public benchmark wherever one exists (for sports, the closing betting line) so you can judge a model against something real rather than against itself. Nothing on this site is betting, financial or legal advice.